Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Top 5 QB's NFL Draft

It's early and could change...first installment on the position the Chiefs should draft #1. Thoughts on the upcoming QB class and where I rank them.

1-Mike Glennon

Glennon goes to the top because of his versatility...he has the range to fit in a vertical scheme and the mechanics to fit in a controlled passing scheme. 

A quality I like with Glennon's game is his release point on his throws.  Does a great job of manipulating speeds and angles...making him a very versatile passer in the intermediate game.  

Issues I see with Glennon is he doesn't stay planted, and plays with a high center of gravity.  Currently Glennon has good range but he can improve on it if he can generate more force from his lower body.  


2-Matt Barkley

I put Barkley here not primarily based on his technique.  Barkley is very polished QB in terms of his footwork.  Does a great job establishing base and transferring power quickly in his lower body.

Barkley's drops and ability to get rid of the ball will lend itself well to West Coast systems that require timing.  In the intermediate game Barkley can generate enough velocity to fit the ball in windows at the next level.

Issue with Barkley is arm strength.  Barkley transfers a lot of power in lower body on throws in the intermediate game, but breaks mechanics for deeper passes.  He relies on trajectory and generates less force with the lower body.  Barkley is a much different QB if he can't establish that base.

3-Tyler Wilson

Wilson has the best arm talent in this draft class.  While I see Barkley thriving in the intermediate game I see Wilson in a scheme that attacks deeper quadrants.  He has the range to make defenses adjust, a rare quality in this draft.

Wilson has the natural arm to make throws without great footwork...when he is able to set he can get more velocity behind a ball better than any QB in this class.  Wilson plants and twist which accounts for the power but effects his accuracy.

Issues with Wilson is his corkscrew motion...his hips open before the ball is released effecting his accuracy.  Doesn't step in and drive throws consistently rather he rotates his base which effects accuracy.  I wouldn't want to depend on him in a ball control passing scheme but see him as an ideal fit in a vertical scheme.

4-Logan Thomas

Thomas is 1b in terms of arm strength in this draft class.  Displays an incredible touch at the top of his release.  Generates most of his power from his motion and at his size gets great extension on his release.  Also Thomas brings the ability to game-plan for his ability to run which is an added bonus.

The issue with Thomas is talent wise he could be the best in this class when you consider everything.  I feel he will get drafted much higher than his production.  Out of the top-5 he is the least ready to start from day one.  But he's worth a gamble given his natural ability.

Thomas has to work on his timing...everything with Thomas is slow and this timing issue will hurt him in the NFL.  He has to work on his drops, his plants, and his transfer.  Thomas' arm motion is very good but he has to get more out of his lower body to make consistent throws in the NFL.

5-Geno Smith

Smith is at 5 on my list...although I think he is better today than 3 of the 4 QB's...I don't think his ceiling is as high.  Credit Smith because his technique is what puts him on the list.  Along with Barkley he is one of the more efficient passers in the game using good footwork to get rid of ball quickly and with power.

I see Smith excelling in a system that relies on the QB's ability to quickly read and get rid of the ball.  I don't see him as a fit in schemes that rely on power and vertical passing.  Smith's calling card is speed and there are few QB's that can get the ball out quicker than Smith.

Issue with Smith is the natural arm talent which shows when teams are able to move him off his spot...the arm simply isn't special.  Smith has good speed...but if he is moved more times than not he is reduced to simply a runner...doesn't keep eyes locked down field consistently.  Smith is a fastball thrower and does well at manipulating speeds, but question his versatility as a passer outside of being a fastball thrower.







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